[LIVE TIP] : Chertanovo - FK Energomash Belgorod Over 5 goals in the game (0-3, 28 min) 1.975 @ bet365 15 EUR - rating: 2/5 #betting #inplay
Chertanovo - FK Energomash Belgorod Over 5 goals in the game (0-3, 28 min) 1.975 @ bet365 15 EUR - rating: 2/5 #betting #inplay http://twitter.com/pinchbet August 18, 2016 at 03:27PM
[LIVE TIP] : Selfoss (W) - IA Akranes (W) Over 3.5, 4 goals in the game (1-2, 60 min) 1.825 @ bet365 15 EUR - rating: 2/5 #inplay #betting
Selfoss (W) - IA Akranes (W) Over 3.5, 4 goals in the game (1-2, 60 min) 1.825 @ bet365 15 EUR - rating: 2/5 #inplay #betting http://twitter.com/pinchbet August 17, 2016 at 08:47PM
[LIVE TIP] : Sassuolo - Red Star Belgrade Sassuolo OVER 2.5 TEAM GOALS Odd: 1.61 #Betting #INPLAY #Bet #Bet365
Sassuolo - Red Star Belgrade Sassuolo OVER 2.5 TEAM GOALS Odd: 1.61 #Betting #INPLAY #Bet #Bet365 http://twitter.com/doubletipster1 August 18, 2016 at 08:54PM
[LIVE TIP] : KCCA - JMC Uganda Premier League KCCA OVER 1.5 TEAM GOALS Odd: 2.00 #Betting #INPLAY #Bet #Bet365
KCCA - JMC Uganda Premier League KCCA OVER 1.5 TEAM GOALS Odd: 2.00 #Betting #INPLAY #Bet #Bet365 http://twitter.com/doubletipster1 August 19, 2016 at 03:17PM
[LIVE TIP] : Jaen - Linense Over 5.5 goals in the game (3-2, 77 min) 2.025 @ bet365 15 EUR - rating: 2/5 #betting #inplay #acca
Jaen - Linense Over 5.5 goals in the game (3-2, 77 min) 2.025 @ bet365 15 EUR - rating: 2/5 #betting #inplay #acca http://twitter.com/pinchbet August 20, 2016 at 09:05PM
[LIVE TIP] : Masku - JyTy Over 1.5, 2 goals in the game (1-0, 74 min) 1.85 @ bet365 15 EUR - rating: 2/5 #inplay #betting
Masku - JyTy Over 1.5, 2 goals in the game (1-0, 74 min) 1.85 @ bet365 15 EUR - rating: 2/5 #inplay #betting http://twitter.com/pinchbet August 19, 2016 at 06:01PM
[LIVE TIP] : Mlada Boleslav U19 - FK Pardubice U19 Over 1.5 goals in the game (0-0, 45 min) 2.00 @ bet365 15 EUR - rating: 2/5 #betting #inplay
Mlada Boleslav U19 - FK Pardubice U19 Over 1.5 goals in the game (0-0, 45 min) 2.00 @ bet365 15 EUR - rating: 2/5 #betting #inplay http://twitter.com/pinchbet August 19, 2016 at 10:51AM
[LIVE TIP] : TPK - TuWe Over 5.5, 6 goals in the game (2-3, 71 min) 1.85 @ bet365 15 EUR - rating: 2/5 #betting #inplay
TPK - TuWe Over 5.5, 6 goals in the game (2-3, 71 min) 1.85 @ bet365 15 EUR - rating: 2/5 #betting #inplay http://twitter.com/pinchbet August 18, 2016 at 05:54PM
Daily Double for Today Not great, still fun though! Double Record Overall: 20W-21L : -6.8 Units Profit July: 8W-13L : -17.71 Units Profit 3 Unit Stake 🕧20:45 Inter Milan vs Fiorentina @1.44 Over 1 goal, Each team at least 1 card -Inter Milan have seen on Average the fourth highest amount of goals in the league at 3.24 per game -Fiorentina have seen an average of 2.59 match goals -Inter Milan see an average of 3.24 goals in their 17 Home games -Fiorentina See an average of 3 goals in their 16 away games -Both teams have scored 23 of Inters 34 games -Both teams have scored in 22 of Fiorentina 34 games -Inter Milan have only failed to score in 2 games in the league all season -Inter have seen 87 yellows and 7 red cards in 34 games at an average of 2.9 per Game (if we use Bet365 rule of 2 cards for a red) -Fiorentina have seen 89 yellows and 6 red cards in 34 games, once again average 2.9 if we stick to the above formula 🕧20:45 Sampdoria vs Genoa Over 1.5 Match Goals, Each team at least 1 card @1.4 -Sampdoria average 2.97 goals a game, 2.75 at home -77% of Sampdoria games Over 1.5 Goals, 71% at home -Genoa average 3.13 goals, 3.35 away -82% of Genoa games Over 1.5 Goals, 88% away -Last 13 Sampdoria games Over 1.5 Goals, Last 6 at Home -Last 11 Genoa games Over 1.5 Goals, Last 6 away -Last 7/10 H2H Over 1.5 Goals, Last 6/7 H2H when Sampdoria at Home -Last 6 Sampdoria games Over 2.5 Goals, Last 3 Total. Last 6 Genoa away games Over 2.5 Goals -Sampdoria scored 2 or more in their last 3 games -Sampdoria average 2.91 Team cards, 2.82 at home -97% of games Over 0.5 Team Cards, 94% at home -Genoa average 2.97 Team cards, 3 away -94% of games Over 0.5 Team Cards, 94% away -Sampdoria had a card in the last 9/10 games, 9/10 at home -Genoa had a card in their last 9/10 games, 9/10 away -Both teams had a card in their last 5 H2H -Referee averages 5.56 yellows a game, 0.75 Reds. Given both teams a card in his last 17 matches. -Derby game where both teams share a stadium @2.02 Daily Tips on Twitter alongside builders and accas! Also our full record sheet for full transparency: https://twitter.com/MilkChocTips PayPal link, any donations very much appreciated!: https://www.paypal.me/arjybarji Google Drive Results BOL!
Football – Friendly – Angelholms vs BK Astrio – 4pm This Swedish friendly is going to be interesting because Angelholms are expected to win, according to the stats. They are 70% favourite according to Bet365. But there are also expected to be goals, stats backing over 2.5 goals. We are therefore backing the home side, but with BTTS. Our Tip: Angelholms to win & BTTS 11/10 @ Betfair Tips
Friendly – Angelholms vs BK Astrio – 4pm This Swedish friendly is going to be interesting because Angelholms are expected to win, according to the stats. They are 70% favourite according to Bet365. But there are also expected to be goals, stats backing over 2.5 goals. We are therefore backing the home side, but with BTTS. TipsTip: Angelholms to win & BTTS 11/10 @ Betfair
Tips for 24th May - 26th May including our goal predictions, percentage chance of home win/draw/away win/BTTS/Over 2.5 and Odds (Odds taken from bet365)
New £20 to £100 Challenge (Won the last one I posted)
DON'T FOLLOW IF YOU CAN'T AFFORD TO LOSE £20 After winning my last £20 to £100 challenge I posted here and getting one or two requests to do another, I decided to do another. I luckily won the last one but would not be at all surprised if I lose this one so make sure you research all my picks as well and don't just follow me blindly. Anyway, The opening bet is, Shanghai SIPG v Tianjin Teda - SIPG to win @1.33, £20 returns £26.66 My reasoning is that over the past five games, SIPG are on the best form in the whole league as they've won all five, whereas Teda are on the worst form in the whole league after losing 4 and drawing one. EDIT: Well that was intense but bet 1 wins! Current balance £26.66 EDIT: The second bet is, Seinajoen JK2 v GBK - Over 1.5 goals @1.25, £26.66 returns £33.32http://gyazo.com/9e8898eb98023d27665e29f195bf433d Here is a screenshot of the pick, KO time and league for those struggling to find it. My reasoning behind this bet is that Seinajoen JK2's home matches average 4 goals and GBK's away matches average 2.6 goals (fairly low but still easily enough). The only four times these two teams have met each other, every game has been over 3.5 goals so over 1.5mg should come in. EDIT: The second bet won in the first half! Current balance £33.32 EDIT: Third bet is Kristianstad Women v Pitea Women - Over 1.5 goals @1.25, £33.32 returns £41.65 Quick reasoning as the game kicks off in 3 minutes (apologies for the short notice) but these two teams have both had over 1.5mg in their last 5 games (and probably more but I can only check the last 5 games). EDIT: Third bet wins! Counted and I'm on an 11 correct tip streak with this bet and my last one! Current balance £41.65 EDIT: Fourth bet is, Gangneung City v Busan Transportation - Under 3.5 goals @1.33, £41.65 returns £54.14, KO 11:00 BST Reasoning, Gangneung's games this season have average 1 goal per game (they've scored 4 conceded 7 in 11 games) whilst Busan's average exactly 2 *scored 10 conceded 12). The last three times these two teams have played each other there has only been 3 goals in total (0-0, 1-0, 1-1) so for there to be four or more goals in this one game it is highly unlikely. EDIT: Fourth bet wins, 0-1. 12 correct tip streak now. Current balance £54.14 EDIT: Fifth bet is, Trans Narva v Jalgpallikool Tammeka - Over 1.5 goals @1.125, £54.14 returns £60.90, KO 17:00 BST Bet365 users can only bet on over 2.5 goals, something which I do strongly believe will happen, however I am staying as safe as I can on William Hill and only going for over 1.5mg. My reasoning behind this pick is that Tammeka's last 5 away matches have all been over 3.5 goals and their away games average 4.7 goals a game. Narva's last five home matches have all been over 1.5mg and their home matches average 2.8 goals a game. 18 of the last 19 games between these two sides have been over 1.5mg (and 14 of the last 19 have been BTTS...). A riskier bet could be either a home win and BTTS, BTTS and over 2.5mg or just BTTS, however I'm playing it safe with just over 1.5mg. EDIT: Bet 5 wins after 20 minutes. 13 correct tip streak. Current balance £60.90 EDIT: Bet 6 is one all bookies do! Drogheda v St Patricks - Over 1.5 goals @1.22, £60.90 returns £74.43, KO 19:45 BST You Bet365 users (and other bookies) should finally be able to get on a bet. My reasoning behind this is that the last four meeting between these two sides have ended up being over 3.5mg. Drogheda's home games average 3 goals and their last eight home matches have been over 1.5mg. St Patricks away games average 2.6 goals and eight of their last 10 away matches have been over 1.5mg. EDIT: 75th and 93rd minute goals secure a nerve wrecking bet 6 win! 14 correct tip streak. Current balance £74.43 EDIT: Penultimate bet, Man City v Melbourne City - Man City to win @1.33, £74.43 returns £99.10, KO 8:00 BST Please comment telling me if I'm being stupid betting so much on a club friendly, especially as Man City are my team so I may be betting stupid. My reasoning however if City just beat Adelaide 2-0 in a friendly (Adelaide beat Melbourne City 4-1 a couple of weeks back) and City have taken many first teamers who will play some of the game. Also, the kids City have brought are all looking to break into the first team next season so will be giving it their all. Unfortunately if this bet comes in we still need one more due to me having to reach £100, either way, up the blues. EDIT: Cheers Nasri. Bet 7 wins. 15 correct tip streak. Current balance £99.10 EDIT: Final bet, Iwata v Chiba - Over 1.5 goals @1.33, £3 returns £4, KO 11:00 BST Just £3 on this one to get me over the line and break £100 again. These two teams like to score and Iwata's home games have been over 1.5mg 11 out of 12 times this season. EDIT: Bet 8 loses me £3 and my streak. Current balance £96.10. EDIT: Final bet, Orebro v Malmo - Over 1.5 goals @1.22, £20 returns £24.44, KO 15:00 BST If this wins it'll take me to £100.54 and complete the challenge. Malmo score a lot and concede a bit, Orebro concede a lot and score a bit. Should be over 1.5mg. EDIT: CONSECUTIVE CHALLENGES WON. FUCK YEAH.
Hi all, my current method for betting is to manually collect statistics for games and plug them into an excel sheet which can calculate averages and other stats relating to bet365 markets (%Games Over 2.5 Goals). Then I compare the stats for both teams and decide which bets are looking tasty. Was looking if anyone had any tips or ways I could improve this, I can provide an example spreadsheet if necessary Edit: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxdMYN3Fma2LVUgxSUtoaTlsalE/view?usp=sharing I have files for the A-League, Superliga, Premier League, Saudi Premier League, Eerste Divisie and Swiss Super League. Not sharing any more than the A-League as it is my most recent sorry :)
Are all bookmakers odds linked to Pinnacle's odds near to game kick-off?
I bet on Yeovil v Port Vale under 2.5 goals at odds of 2 a few days ago. I keep a track of what the prices are during the week via oddsportal and noticed that whenever the odds on Pinnacle fall, the minute after they fall on everyone else's as well. http://www.oddsportal.com/socceengland/league-two/yeovil-port-vale-QaiYJGFk/#over-under;2;2.50;0 At 13:47 (UK time) today, the odds change from 1.78 to 1.63 on Pinnacle and then if you look at the other bookmakers website the odds all fall the minute/s afterwards. The odds on Pinnacle must alter when one account who has a successful history bets a large amount (for that game) on one outcome. That account would have surely been limited at bet365 etc so it can't be the same person/syndicate. Do some gamblers just monitor Pinnacle's lines and an automatic system makes a bet whenever there is 10% or more movement on at Pinnacle? Or do European bookmakers monitor Pinny's lines and alter their odds based on those? Pinnacle's model seems to be let the Euro bookmakers set the initial line which is then sharpened a little. Then Pinnacle open a day or so afterward taking into account the sharpened line. They have low limits at first, then adjust the line when the smart money comes in. But Euro bookmakers cannot do this as they limit all the sharp money. So I think Euro bookmakers must use Pinnacle's odds to sharpen their own lines for them?
So what do we think for the cup final? I've got my money on BTTS @ 1.86. Found a good write up for those having a flutter, credit to mandkay. FA Cup Final trends – last 20 years... •Under 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 70% of the finals •The 1-0 Correct Score has paid out in 40% •Both Teams to Score - NO bets have paid out in 80% •Bets on the match winner To Win To Nil have paid out in 70% And in the last decade... •There has not been more than a one-goal margin of victory in the last ten FA Cup finals The history books tell us to expect a narrow score-line, with goals hard to come by. However the specific team Head-to-Head between Arsenal and Aston Villa suggests a more open and high scoring game is in store... Arsenal v Aston Villa – last 10 meetings... •Arsenal have won 7 of the last 10 meeting (Villa 2, Draw 1) •Over 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 9 of the last 10 meetings – with an average of 3.2 Total Goals per game •Arsenal did the Premier League double over Villa this season – beating them 5-0 and 3-0 The Head-to-Head says Arsenal win will with room to spare. But we reckon THIS is the most important statistic to keep in mind this weekend.... •Arsenal haven’t won in Normal Time in any of their last 5 FA Cup appearances at Wembley Arsenal went 0-2 down v Hull in the Final last year, eventually clawing it back to 2-2 in Normal Time and winning 3-2 in Extra Time... In the Semi Final last year they needed Penalties to see off Wigan. And in the Semi Final this season Arsenal were held 1-1 by Reading in Normal Time before getting the win with a lucky goal in Extra Time. In short – Arsenal don’t always win when they should win. With those recent Wembley results fresh in the memory we won’t be taking odds of just 4/7 (1.57) on Arsenal to win in 90 Minutes... In case Arsenal’s ‘making hard work of it’ trend continues, you might also want to consider Arsenal to win on Penalties @ 10/1 with Skybet and Arsenal to win in Extra Time @ 16/1 with Bet365...
Over 2.5 Goals Statistics. The table above features Over 2.5 Goals stats for 510 teams across 29 leagues around the globe and shows the number of matches played and the number of matches that have seen 2.5 Goals, or more scored (for the current season) along with a percentage. The green bar represents the percentage of total games where there has been 2.5 Goals, or more scored. Bets win on the Over 2.5 goals market when 3 or more goals in a match are scored, regardless of which team scores. Conversely, bets on the under 2.5 goals market win where 2 goals or less are scored. The market applies to 90 minutes & stoppage/injury time but not extra time or penalties. The over 1.5 goals market is a simple one to bet on – you just need there to be at least two goals in a game to win your bet. The odds for there to be over 1.5 goals are generally low – usually between 1.2 and 1.4 before a game starts, but on the plus side a high proportion of games will have two or more goals. Many bookmakers, including Bet365, offer the chance to bet on different numbers of total goals being scored in any given game. You can bet on their being over or under 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 and even 5.5 goals in a game. As the total goes up you’ll likely receive better odds and as it goes down the odds will shorten. What does under/over 2.5 goals mean? When you are dealing with over 2.5 goals bet, this bet wins when there are 3 or more goals in total between the two teams. An example of this would be 2-1 that would mean over 2.5 goals. On the other side, a under 2.5 goals bet wins if there are zero, 1 or 2 goals scored in total. An example of this would be 1-1, which is a winning under 2.5 goals bet. Over 2.5 goals helps to avoid this discrepancy. The match finishes with three goals in that means the bet is won as three is greater than 2.5. It’s the same case with the under three goals markets. If the match finished with exactly 3 goals, people would be confused as to whether or not their bet has won. One of the world's leading online gambling companies. The most comprehensive In-Play service. Deposit Bonus for New Customers. Watch Live Sport. We stream over 100,000 events. Bet on Sportsbook and Casino. The Benefits of Using Over 2.5 Goals Betting Tips As we’ve already said, preparation plays a significant role in using an over 2.5 prediction as a tool for creating a winning slip. It gives you a great idea of what’s about to happen, as well as a range of options for you to consider if there is a sudden injury or a similar unwanted development before a fixture. Win And Over 2.5 Goals Statistics. Win and Over 2.5 Goals is a betting market that combines the match winner and the amount of goals in a game. For a Win and Over 2.5 Goals bet to win, the selected team must win the game and there must be at least 3 or more total goals (scored between both teams) in the game. bet365 is our top rated app for Over/Under 2.5 Goals Bets. In our opinion it is a solid stable app that is brilliant for ALL football bets, not just under and over bets. A superb new account offer is available, their are also some superb betting offers and features that make placing your bets with them extra special.